Executive Summary
Dow Inc delivered QQ3 2025 results that show a modest top-line while stabilizing margins in a volatile chemical cycle. Revenue totaled $9.973 billion, down 8.3% year-over-year and 1.3% quarter-over-quarter, with a gross profit of $689 million and a gross margin of 6.9%. Operating income was $159 million (operating margin of 1.59%), and net income reached $62 million, or an EPS of $0.087. The quarter exhibited a sharp sequential improvement in profitability (Q2 to Q3), rising from $9 million of operating income to $159 million and from a net loss in Q2 to a positive net income in Q3, aided by a $54 million tax benefit and other income dynamics that offset higher financing costs.
Management commentary is not embedded in the provided data set, but the financials illustrate an economy-sensitive, highly leveraged platform with positive free cash flow generation. EBITDA was $979 million (EBITDA margin ~9.8%), underscoring the companyβs ability to cover its operating needs while funding capex and dividends. However, interest expense remained sizable at $221 million, contributing to an interest coverage of approximately 0.72x, signaling vulnerability to rising rates and the ongoing need for leverage management. Cash flow per share (OCF) was $1.605 and free cash flow per share was $0.802, with cash per share at $6.56 and a modest dividend yield of 1.55%. The balance sheet shows solid liquidity (current ratio ~1.94) but a leverage profile that requires monitoring (debt ratio ~0.322; total debt to capitalization ~0.528).
Looking ahead, the growth narrative hinges on commodity price cycles, end-market demand in packaging, coatings, and infrastructure, and the ability to convert volume and mix into durable margin gains while gradually strengthening balance sheet metrics. Relative valuation metrics imply a stock priced for stability rather than aggressive growth, with a P/E near 65x and a P/B around 0.92x. The investment case centers on improving pricing power, continued cost discipline, and deleveraging to lift interest coverage and sustain healthy FCF generation.
Key Performance Indicators
QoQ: 26.65% | YoY:-29.33%
QoQ: 1 666.67% | YoY:-57.14%
QoQ: 107.43% | YoY:-71.03%
QoQ: 107.38% | YoY:-70.97%
Key Insights
Revenue: $9,973,000,000 (YoY -8.33%, QoQ -1.30%)
Gross Profit: $689,000,000 (YoY -29.33%, QoQ +26.65%)
Gross Margin: 6.91%
Operating Income: $159,000,000 (YoY -57.14%, QoQ +1,666.67%)
Operating Margin: 1.59%
EBITDA: $979,000,000 (EBITDA Margin: 9.82%)
Income Before Tax: $70,000,000 (Tax Expense: -$54,000,000; Tax Benefit)
Net Income: $62,000,000 (YoY -71.03%, QoQ +107.43%)
EPS (Basic): $0.0871; EPS (Diluted): $0.08
Weighted Avg Shares (out): 702.3M (diluted 703.6M)
Liquidity and leverage indic...
Financial Highlights
Revenue: $9,973,000,000 (YoY -8.33%, QoQ -1.30%)
Gross Profit: $689,000,000 (YoY -29.33%, QoQ +26.65%)
Gross Margin: 6.91%
Operating Income: $159,000,000 (YoY -57.14%, QoQ +1,666.67%)
Operating Margin: 1.59%
EBITDA: $979,000,000 (EBITDA Margin: 9.82%)
Income Before Tax: $70,000,000 (Tax Expense: -$54,000,000; Tax Benefit)
Net Income: $62,000,000 (YoY -71.03%, QoQ +107.43%)
EPS (Basic): $0.0871; EPS (Diluted): $0.08
Weighted Avg Shares (out): 702.3M (diluted 703.6M)
Liquidity and leverage indicators:
Current Ratio: 1.944; Quick Ratio: 1.284; Cash Ratio: 0.456
Debt Ratio: 0.322; Debt/Equity: 1.119; Long-Term Debt to Capitalization: 0.502; Total Debt to Capitalization: 0.528
Interest Coverage: 0.72x
Cash Flow indicators: OCF per Share: $1.605; Free Cash Flow per Share: $0.802; Cash per Share: $6.56; Dividend Yield: 1.55%
Capex Coverage Ratio: 1.998x; Dividend Payout Ratio: 4.02
Valuation context: Price to Book ~0.92x; Price to Sales ~1.62x; Enterprise Value Multiple ~31.8x; Price to Earnings ~64.9x; Price to Free Cash Flow ~28.6x
Income Statement
| Metric |
Value |
YoY Change |
QoQ Change |
| Revenue |
9.97B |
-8.33% |
-1.30% |
| Gross Profit |
689.00M |
-29.33% |
26.65% |
| Operating Income |
159.00M |
-57.14% |
1 666.67% |
| Net Income |
62.00M |
-71.03% |
107.43% |
| EPS |
0.09 |
-70.97% |
107.38% |
Key Financial Ratios
operatingProfitMargin
1.59%
operatingCashFlowPerShare
$1.61
freeCashFlowPerShare
$0.8
Management Commentary
Transcript data for QQ3 2025 not provided in the dataset. As a result, direct management quotes and thematic insights from the earnings call are unavailable. The analysis therefore relies on disclosed financials and historical context to assess performance, margins, and leverage dynamics. When transcript data is available, themes typically cover strategy, operations, market conditions, and guidance implementation.
Transcript data not available in the dataset.
β N/A
Transcript data not available in the dataset.
β N/A
Forward Guidance
Given the absence of explicit management guidance in the provided data, forward-looking assessment centers on industry cyclicality, pricing power, and capital allocation discipline. Key factors to monitor:
- End-market demand in packaging, infrastructure, and coatings, which drive Dowβs volumes and pricing power.
- Feedstock and energy costs, which influence cost of revenue and gross margins, particularly in ethylene-propylene chemistry.
- Margin elasticity: potential to translate volume and product mix into higher EBITDA and improved operating leverage as utilization and pricing stabilize.
- Balance sheet trajectory: ability to reduce interest expense through debt reduction or refinancing to lift interest coverage above 1x.
- Cash flow durability: sustaining OCF and FCF per share above past levels to support capex, dividends, and strategic investments.
Overall, the QQ3 2025 results suggest a cautious, cyclical recovery signal with meaningful upside if Dow can stabilize input costs, realize pricing gains, and modestly deleverage while maintaining solid cash generation.