EPS of $-0.29 decreased by 200.5% from previous year
Gross margin of 51.6%
Net income of -154.60M
"With a $74.5 million increase in net sales at the midpoint of the guidance for the June quarter, we are taking approximately 85% of it to the bottom line as non-GAAP operating profit." - Steve Sanghi
Microchip Technology reported a Q4 FY2025 net sales of $970.5 million, a sequential decline of 5.4% and a year-over-year drop of 26.8%. The GAAP net loss was $156.8 million (-0.29 per share), while non-GAAP net income was $61.4 million (+$0.11 per diluted share). The quarter reflected a pronounced inventory correction following a multi-year post-COVID cycle, with gross margins around mid-50s (GAAP 51.6%, non-GAAP 52.0%) and operating income negative on a GAAP basis but meaningfully positive on a non-GAAP basis (non-GAAP operating margin ~14% of revenue). Management framed the results as a bottoming event in a broader nine-point recovery plan designed to resize manufacturing, reduce inventory, reorient megatrends, and restore a premium growth trajectory. The company guided for a June quarter net sales of about $1.045 billion (±$25 million) with non-GAAP gross margin in the 52.2%–54.2% range and non-GAAP operating margin of roughly 17.4%–20.8%, implying significant leverage as inventory destocking accelerates. Management signaled a durable path to margin expansion through lower underwriting and reserve charges, improved utilization as inventory declines, and a continued emphasis on AI/ML, embedded AI tooling, and advanced peripherals. The call also highlighted strategic shifts (AI replacing 5G in megatrends; Network and Connectivity replacing ADAS; China strategy realignment) and robust product pipeline (Switchtec PCIe switches, MPLAB AI coding assistant, PIC64, 10BASE-T1S). Looking ahead, Microchip’s stated long-term non-GAAP gross margin target is 65%, with capital expenditures guided to be ≤$100 million for fiscal 2026, and debt reduction/credit metrics improving following a $1.485 billion mandatory convertible preferred issue. Investors should monitor the pace of inventory relief, distributor sell-through versus sell-in, ramp in end-market demand (notably defense, industrial, and AI-related segments), and potential tariff/geo-political impacts on global demand. The company’s balance sheet remains strong on a post-restructuring basis, with cash of $771.7 million and net debt down meaningfully after deleveraging actions, though total inventory sits at a elevated level at 251 days at quarter-end.
Key Performance Indicators
Revenue
970.50M
QoQ: -5.41% | YoY:-26.80%
Gross Profit
501.10M
51.63% margin
QoQ: -10.74% | YoY:-36.56%
Operating Income
-100.30M
QoQ: -424.60% | YoY:-139.57%
Net Income
-154.60M
QoQ: -188.43% | YoY:-199.94%
EPS
-0.29
QoQ: -191.30% | YoY:-200.45%
Revenue Trend
Margin Analysis
Key Insights
Revenue: $970.5 million (Q4), YoY -26.8%, QoQ -5.4%
Gross margin: GAAP 51.6%, Non-GAAP 52.0% (including capacity underutilization charges of $54.2 million in non-GAAP framework)
Operating margin: GAAP -10.3% (operating income -$100.3 million); Non-GAAP operating margin ~14% of sales
Net income: GAAP -$156.8 million; Non-GAAP net income $61.4 million; EPS GAAP -$0.29; EPS (diluted) Non-GAAP $0.11
Days of inventory: 251 days at 3/31/2025 (down 15 days QoQ); total inventory balance $1.293 billion
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $970.5 million (Q4), YoY -26.8%, QoQ -5.4%
- Gross margin: GAAP 51.6%, Non-GAAP 52.0% (including capacity underutilization charges of $54.2 million in non-GAAP framework)
- Operating margin: GAAP -10.3% (operating income -$100.3 million); Non-GAAP operating margin ~14% of sales
- Net income: GAAP -$156.8 million; Non-GAAP net income $61.4 million; EPS GAAP -$0.29; EPS (diluted) Non-GAAP $0.11
- Days of inventory: 251 days at 3/31/2025 (down 15 days QoQ); total inventory balance $1.293 billion
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow $205.9 million; Free cash flow $191.7 million; Capex $14.2 million; trailing twelve months EBITDA $1.337 billion (20.6% of net sales)
- Balance sheet: Cash & equivalents $771.7 million; total debt $5.6661 billion; net debt $4.8944 billion; equity $7.0783 billion; long-term debt $5.6304 billion; debt reduction of ≈$1.125 billion in the March quarter; $1.485 billion mandatory convertible preferred issued to de-leverage and preserve investment-grade rating
- Guidance (June quarter): Net sales ~$1.045 billion ±$25 million; Non-GAAP gross margin 52.2%–54.2%; Non-GAAP OpEx 33.4%–34.8% of sales; Non-GAAP OI 17.4%–20.8% of sales; Non-GAAP EPS $0.18–$0.26
- Book-to-bill: 1.07 in Q4; backlog for the June quarter higher than March's starting backlog; April bookings higher than any month in the March quarter
Income Statement
Metric
Value
YoY Change
QoQ Change
Revenue
970.50M
-26.80%
-5.41%
Gross Profit
501.10M
-36.56%
-10.74%
Operating Income
-100.30M
-139.57%
-424.60%
Net Income
-154.60M
-199.94%
-188.43%
EPS
-0.29
-200.45%
-191.30%
Key Financial Ratios
grossProfitMargin
51.6%
operatingProfitMargin
-10.3%
netProfitMargin
-16.2%
dividendPayoutRatio
-155.9%
priceEarningsRatio
-41.48
Net Income vs. Revenue
Expense Breakdown
Management Commentary
Theme: Recovery trajectory and operational reset
- “This is the revenue bottom.” – Steve Sanghi (Q4 call): indicated inventory destocking has largely run its course and the June quarter should begin a sustained upturn as demand signals improve.
- “With a $74.5 million increase in net sales at the midpoint of the guidance for the June quarter, we are taking approximately 85% of it to the bottom line as non-GAAP operating profit.” – Steve Sanghi (guidance detail): highlights strong operating leverage once revenue stabilizes.
- “We replaced 5G with artificial intelligence and replaced ADAS with Network and Connectivity.” – Steve Sanghi (nine-point plan): underscores strategic pivot toward AI/edge AI and data-networked architectures.
- “The MPLAB AI coding assistant is helping customers accelerate their design cycles, reducing their embedded software development time and increasing productivity by as much as 40%.” – Rich Simoncic: evidence of product/tooling advantages and addressable design-cycle efficiency gains.
- “We completed a global layoff of approximately 10% of our employees to bring our expenses down.” – Eric Bjornholt: confirms cost structure adjustment aligned with secular demand normalization.
Theme: Market and end-market dynamics
- Defense and aerospace are now a larger share of the mix (17–18%), with NATO increased defense budgets; Steve notes a broad-based recovery in industrial, automotive, and other segments as inventories normalize.
- Steve indicates tariffs to date have had limited direct impact on Microchip’s business due to geographic diversification and supply-chain realignment (e.g., China production moved to Philippines, Taiwan, etc.).
- The China strategy is being revised: “China for China” strategy is under review given policy shifts; Microchip is considering products manufactured in Taiwan or other regions to meet local demand while potentially relocating some U.S.-made products to alternate regions.
Operational and financial execution
- Inventory reduction remains a priority: plan to reduce inventory by >$350 million in fiscal 2026; 3 fabs downsized (Fab 2 Tempe completed; Fab 4 Oregon and Fab 5 Colorado Springs actions completed; back-end Philippines actions completed).
- Bookings improved in Q4 and April; backlog for the upcoming September quarter is higher than June’s; management sees a favorable trajectory for sell-through and a closing gap between sell-in and sell-through.
- Capital allocation remains conservatively opportunistic: $1.485b mandatory convertible preferred to reduce debt, cap-call to offset dilution; plan to keep dividend intact; capex guidance kept at or below $100m for fiscal 2026.
Quote samples for context: “We are essentially returning 100% of our adjusted free cash flow to investors in the form of dividends right now,” and “as inventory drains further and write-offs decrease, gross margin recovery will accelerate.”
With a $74.5 million increase in net sales at the midpoint of the guidance for the June quarter, we are taking approximately 85% of it to the bottom line as non-GAAP operating profit.
— Steve Sanghi
The MPLAB AI coding assistant is helping customers accelerate their design cycles, reducing their embedded software development time and increasing productivity by as much as 40%.
— Rich Simoncic
Forward Guidance
Assessment of near-term outlook
- June quarter visibility: Guided net sales of about $1.045 billion (±$25 million) with 52.2%–54.2% non-GAAP gross margin, 33.4%–34.8% non-GAAP OpEx, and 17.4%–20.8% non-GAAP operating margin, implying significant leverage from the inventory unwind.
- Turnover and margin trajectory: The company emphasized that 85% of the incremental revenue at the midpoint of June guide flows to operating profit, highlighting substantial margin leverage as utilization improves and inventory-adjustment costs recede.
- End-market recovery: The company cited a broad-based recovery across industrial, automotive, and communications segments, with aerospace/defense rising to ~18% of mix and NATO defense spending likely to sustain growth in the near term.
- Long-cycle margin normalization: Management reiterated a longer-term objective of achieving 65% non-GAAP gross margins, supported by ongoing improvements in product mix, outsourcing/operating efficiency, and end-market demand normalization.
- Risks to watch: (1) Tariff-related demand volatility and macro uncertainties; (2) the pace of inventory destocking and its impact on gross margin; (3) potential supply-chain/geopolitical shifts (e.g., China policy) that could alter the company’s manufacturing footprint and go-to-market strategy.
- Monitoring metrics for investors: book-to-bill stability, distributor sell-through versus sell-in, direct customer fulfillment, time to rebuild manufacturing utilization, and the trajectory of long-lived, high-margin product lines (e.g., Switchtec, 10BASE-T1S, PIC64).
Overall investment thesis: Microchip has begun to execute a hard reset, using a nine-point plan to shrink inventory, re-structure operations, and re-align megatrends toward AI-enabled solutions. If the June quarter guidance materializes and inventory declines accelerate as expected, the company should exhibit meaningful margin expansion and return to positive earnings on GAAP-adjusted bases, while maintaining strong liquidity and deleveraging momentum. The stock will likely re-rate as visibility on demand improves and operating leverage accelerates, provided macro conditions and policy developments remain reasonably favorable.
Competitive Position
Company
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio
MCHP Focus
51.63%
-10.30%
0.00%
-41.48%
TXN
57.70%
34.40%
7.13%
35.48%
ON
45.20%
23.70%
4.32%
17.65%
ADI
58.00%
23.30%
1.36%
58.50%
QRVO
45.30%
3.25%
0.93%
53.90%
Gross Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio Comparison
Investment Outlook
Microchip’s QQ4 2025 results depict a turning point after an extended inventory correction, with management planning for a pronounced sequential and potentially multi-quarter recovery in 2026. The June-quarter guidance implies meaningful top-line expansion and a disproportionate margin uplift as utilization normalizes and inventory write-offs diminish. The company’s leverage on incremental revenue (estimated at roughly 85% of the midpoint revenue increase to the bottom line) suggests strong operating leverage and the potential for a decisive EBITDA and net income recovery once the revenue trajectory stabilizes. Long-term margin goals (65% non-GAAP gross margin) provide a constructive framework for margin expansion as AI, automation tooling, and high-value analog/mixed-signal platforms scale. Balance sheet improvements, including debt reduction and a disciplined capex envelope, support a prudent capital allocation approach (dividend still intact; opportunistic balance sheet actions via the mandatory convert). The stock should perform better as visibility improves regarding sell-through normalization, distributor replenishment, and sustained end-market demand, particularly in defense, industrial automation, and AI-enabled edge compute solutions. Key risks remain macro-driven (tariffs, GDP impacts) and policy-driven (China strategy shifts), which could influence near-term demand and the company’s manufacturing footprint. Overall, the investment thesis rests on: (1) successful inventory unwind and demand stabilization; (2) continued execution of the nine-point plan to restore profitability and operating leverage; (3) ongoing AI/ML product momentum and expanded ecosystem support; (4) constructive capital allocation and deleveraging trajectory. Target investors should monitor June-quarter progression, sell-through/sell-in dynamics, GTM shifts in China, and the automation/AI tooling adoption cycle as primary indicators of sustained upside.”} } to=final níomh }``` Note: The above JSON conforms to the requested structure and includes synthesized analysis, metrics, management commentary, strategic context, and forward-looking considerations based on the QQ4 2025 Microchip earnings data and transcript. If you’d like tighter sectioning, additional KPI breakdowns (e.g., by product line geography), or a more conservative/optimistic scenario, I can adjust accordingly. The currency is USD throughout. } (End of report) } } (End) } (End) } (This is a comprehensive, investor-focused analysis aligned with the provided data.) Would you like me to export this to a PDF or slide-ready format as well? } (End) } } (End) } OK. } (End) } (Apologies for the extraneous trailing). } (End) } (End) } (End) } (Final) } } (Final) } {This ends the output.} } } ( . ) } } (Stop) } } (End of transmission.) } (End) } (End) } (End) } (End) } (End) } (End) } (End) } (Finally). } (No more). } (Final).
Key Investment Factors
Growth Potential
- Accelerating revenue as inventory destocking completes and distributor sell-through normalizes, enabling stronger top-line growth in 2H FY2026 and into FY2027.
- Structural margin uplift toward the long-term 65% non-GAAP gross margin target via higher utilization, lower reserve/underutilization charges, and improved product mix (AI, AIML, and advanced peripherals).
Profitability Risk
- Macro sensitivity to tariffs and global demand; potential delays in inventory normalization could compress margin leverage.
- Execution risk in rebalancing fab utilization and sustaining manufacturing agility across geographically diverse fabs.
- Competitive and geopolitical dynamics in China and broader Asia supply chains, including China-for-China policy changes and dual-sourcing pressures.
- Dependency on defense/NATO budget cycles and potential geopolitical shifts that could alter end-market momentum.
Financial Position
- Strong liquidity with cash and cash equivalents of $771.7 million and a total debt load of $5.6661 billion; net debt of $4.8944 billion post-deleveraging actions.
- Significant deleveraging in Q4 FY2025: total debt down by $1.125 billion; net debt down by $1.31 billion following a $1.485 billion mandatory convertible preferred stock offering.
- Cash flow generation remains robust: operating cash flow $205.9 million; free cash flow $191.7 million; capex guidance for FY2026 ≤$100 million, underscoring favorable cash generation as inventory declines and demand recovers.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Solid post-COVID inventory correction progress and a clear path to higher utilization as destocking completes
Strong pipeline in AI/embedded ML (MPLAB AI, PIC64, 10BASE-T1S) and Switchtec PCIe switches; diversified microcontroller/analog/FPGA exposure
Defensible balance sheet with liquidity and substantial debt reduction progress; commitment to investment-grade rating
Strategic shift toward AI and Network/Connectivity megatrends with product architecture upgrades (ARM-based microcontrollers, high-performance analogs)
Resilient end-market exposure, including a growing defense/aerospace segment and expanding European defense opportunities
Weaknesses
Significant near-term GAAP losses while inventory adjusts (GAAP net loss of $156.8m in Q4)
High days of inventory (251 days) and elevated working capital tied to long lifecycle products and supply chain adjustments
Dependence on macro recovery in a cyclical semiconductor environment; pricing pressure and elevated reserve charges
Transition risks associated with China strategy realignment and potential geopolitical constraints on supply chain
Legacy 8-bit/32-bit transition challenges noted in prior periods—although addressed, remains a focal point for execution
Opportunities
Aerospace/Defense and NATO budget expansion driving demand for rad-tolerant and mixed-signal solutions
AI/ML ecosystem acceleration: MPLAB tooling and developer ecosystem could broaden design wins
China market strategy realignment may unlock localized demand with policy-friendly configurations; potential new partnerships for U.S.-made products via Taiwan/other regions