Exchange: NASDAQ | Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Parts
Q2 2026
Published: Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Highlights
Revenue of $288.91M down 4.1% year-over-year
EPS of $0.18 increased by 0% from previous year
Gross margin of 35.7%
Net income of 5.67M
"βWe have identified Monro's highest value customers. These customers deliver significantly more profit per customer than the lowest tier of customers. They are repeat purchasers that visit us over a number of years, and they choose us because we provide both the tires they want and the auto aftermarket services that meet their vehicle needs.β" - Peter Fitzsimmons
Monro Inc (MNRO) QQ2 2026 Earnings Analysis: Positive Comparable Store Growth, Margin Stability, and Strategic Execution Amid Consumer Softness
Executive Summary
Monro Inc delivered a constructive QQ2 2026 despite a softer consumer backdrop, underscored by three consecutive quarters of positive comparable store sales and a refined focus on higher-value customers. Reported revenue of $288.9 million, gross margin of 35.69%, and adjusted operating income of $14.0 million (4.8% of sales), with adjusted diluted EPS of $0.21 and GAAP EPS of $0.18. Management highlighted progress across four strategic pillars: (1) driving profitable customer acquisition and activation via enhanced digital marketing and CRM segmentation; (2) improving in-store experience and selling effectiveness, including ConfiDrive integration and a centralized call center rollout; (3) merchandising productivity with tariff risk mitigation and updated tire assortment planning; and (4) real estate optimization following the closure of 145 underperforming stores. The company exited 21 leases and sold 3 owned locations for approximately $5.5 million in Q2, with inventory reduced by about $11 million YoY. Net cash provided by operating activities totaled $32.3 million in H1 2026, and free cash flow was about $26.6 million, supporting a strong balance sheet and a confirmed dividend policy. While October comps were down about 2%, Monro maintains visibility to deliver positive full-year comps driven by ongoing marketing scaling (targeting ~600 stores in Q2 and broader rollout by December), store-level improvements, and pricing/mix optimizations related to tariffs. The year-end guidance remains conservative yet constructive, with expectations for flat full-year gross margin versus 2025 and a path to higher adjusted diluted EPS versus the prior year, supported by operating leverage and asset dispositions.
Key Performance Indicators
Revenue
288.91M
QoQ: -4.03% | YoY:-4.14%
Gross Profit
103.11M
35.69% margin
QoQ: -3.55% | YoY:-3.07%
Operating Income
12.75M
QoQ: 309.88% | YoY:1.57%
Net Income
5.67M
QoQ: 170.37% | YoY:0.32%
EPS
0.18
QoQ: 164.29% | YoY:0.00%
Revenue Trend
Margin Analysis
Key Insights
Q2 2026 revenue: $288.914 million, down 4.14% YoY and down 4.03% QoQ. YoY decline largely reflects the impact of the store optimization program (closure of 145 underperforming stores in Q1 2026).
Gross margin: 35.69% in Q2 2026, up 40 bps YoY, driven by lower occupancy costs and favorable mix, partially offset by higher technician labor costs.
Operating income: $12.75 million, or 4.41% of sales (flat YoY at 4.4% as reported); adjusted operating income: $14.0 million, or 4.8% of sales (vs. 4.2% in 2025 Q2).
EBITDA: $28.063 million (EBITDA margin 9.71%).
Net income and EPS: Net income $5.666 million; diluted EPS $0.18; adjusted diluted EPS $0.21 (vs. $0.17 in prior-year Q2).
Financial Highlights
Revenue and profitability
- Q2 2026 revenue: $288.914 million, down 4.14% YoY and down 4.03% QoQ. YoY decline largely reflects the impact of the store optimization program (closure of 145 underperforming stores in Q1 2026).
- Gross margin: 35.69% in Q2 2026, up 40 bps YoY, driven by lower occupancy costs and favorable mix, partially offset by higher technician labor costs.
- Operating income: $12.75 million, or 4.41% of sales (flat YoY at 4.4% as reported); adjusted operating income: $14.0 million, or 4.8% of sales (vs. 4.2% in 2025 Q2).
- EBITDA: $28.063 million (EBITDA margin 9.71%).
- Net income and EPS: Net income $5.666 million; diluted EPS $0.18; adjusted diluted EPS $0.21 (vs. $0.17 in prior-year Q2).
- Cash flow and liquidity: Net cash provided by operating activities $32.3 million in H1 2026; free cash flow $26.6 million; cash and cash equivalents $10.5 million; net bank debt $50 million; available liquidity ~$410 million under the credit facility; total debt $501.0 million.
- Balance sheet health: Total assets $1.584 billion; total liabilities $982 million; total stockholdersβ equity $601.7 million; goodwill and intangible assets $745.5 million; cash and equivalents $10.5 million; working capital dynamics reflected in AP/Inventory ratio of ~186% at 6/30/2025 (end of Q2).
- Capital allocation: Capex of $5.7 million in Q2; planned full-year capex guidance of $25β$35 million; dividends of $17 million paid in H1; ongoing exit of real estate as part of the optimization program.
Income Statement
Metric
Value
YoY Change
QoQ Change
Revenue
288.91M
-4.14%
-4.03%
Gross Profit
103.11M
-3.07%
-3.55%
Operating Income
12.75M
1.57%
309.88%
Net Income
5.67M
0.32%
170.37%
EPS
0.18
0.00%
164.29%
Key Financial Ratios
Net Income vs. Revenue
Expense Breakdown
Management Commentary
Key management themes from the earnings call and supporting materials:
- Strategy and growth initiatives: Management emphasized four performance-improvement areas, notably aggressive consumer acquisition via digital marketing and CRM targeting, with refined customer segmentation focusing on higher-value customers who deliver greater gross margin; targeted expansion of digital marketing to ~600 stores by Q3 and full rollout by December. Quote: 'We have now ramped our refined targeting to almost 600 stores, and we are encouraged to see that these stores are outperforming the balance of our store chain on several key metrics' (Peter Fitzsimmons).
- Store operations and experience: Introduced ConfiDrive for digital courtesy inspections, centralizing scheduling via a call center to reduce in-store burden and improve efficiency; rollout expected to all stores by early November. Quote: 'This allows our store managers to focus more of their time on in-store activities without the burden of answering each and every call that comes in.'
- Real estate and cost discipline: Closure of 145 stores completed; exit of 21 leases and sale of 3 owned locations for $5.5 million in Q2; ongoing optimization aimed at driving cash flow and reallocating capital to continuing locations. Quote: 'exit 21 leases and sold 3 owned locations, which resulted in proceeds of $5.5 million.'
- Margin and pricing: Gross margin expansion aided by lower occupancy costs and favorable service mix; tariff and pricing dynamics discussed with vendor support and updated tire assortment strategy; marketing and merchandising enhancements continued to support margin through higher-ticket services.
- Outlook and market conditions: Management acknowledged consumer demand softness in September and October with preliminary October comps down ~2%, but remained confident in positive comps for FY2026 driven by ongoing initiatives and tariff-driven pricing opportunities. Quote: 'We expect to deliver positive comp store sales in fiscal 2026 and we have a variety of levers to pull that we believe will enable us to achieve meaningfully higher year-over-year adjusted operating income.'
βWe have identified Monro's highest value customers. These customers deliver significantly more profit per customer than the lowest tier of customers. They are repeat purchasers that visit us over a number of years, and they choose us because we provide both the tires they want and the auto aftermarket services that meet their vehicle needs.β
β Peter Fitzsimmons
βIn the quarter, we were down mid-single digits in traffic, up mid-single digits in ticket, netting out to the up 1% overall comp.β
β Brian D'Ambrosia
Forward Guidance
Outlook and management guidance for FY2026:
- Comparable store sales: Expect year-over-year growth driven by the improvement plan and tariff-related price adjustments, despite a softer consumer backdrop late in the quarter (October comps down ~2%).
- Store optimization impact: Anticipate the store optimization program to reduce total sales by approximately $45 million in fiscal 2026 as underperforming locations are closed or repositioned, freeing up capital and driving margin efficiency in ongoing stores.
- Gross margin: Expected to be roughly flat with FY2025 gross margins for the full year, with potential second-half improvements from higher leverage in the stabilized store base and ongoing cost-control measures.
- Operating leverage and EPS: Management believes the combination of cost controls, store closures, and price/mix optimization will yield year-over-year growth in adjusted diluted EPS in FY2026.
- Capital expenditure: Guided capex in the range of $25 million to $35 million, consistent with continued investments in store modernization, marketing capabilities, and technology improvements (ConfiDrive, call center, analytics).
- Cash flow and balance sheet: Expect to generate sufficient operating cash flow to fund dividends and capital allocation priorities; maintained liquidity with ~$410 million availability on the credit facility and a strong net debt position.
- Key factors for investors to monitor: (1) Effectiveness of digital marketing and CRM-driven customer acquisition; (2) Pace and profitability of the call-center expansion and its impact on store-level sales and gross profit; (3) Tariff-driven cost/mix changes and pass-through pricing dynamics; (4) The trajectory of consumer demand in the Q3βQ4 period and its impact on comps; (5) Real estate dispositions and their contribution to free cash flow and balance sheet strength.
Competitive Position
Company
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio
MNRO Focus
35.69%
N/A
N/A
N/A
DORM
40.60%
15.20%
4.19%
16.16%
MPAA
19.80%
6.01%
-1.12%
-12.36%
PLOW
31.00%
19.00%
9.50%
6.57%
SLGN
19.40%
11.50%
4.00%
16.30%
Gross Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio Comparison
Investment Outlook
Investment thesis: Monro is transitioning toward a higher-value, service-driven growth model backed by scale, technology-enabled marketing, and disciplined cost management. The QQ2 2026 results show sequential improvement in margins and a positive comp trajectory despite a softer macro environment. The real estate optimization, coupled with expanded digital marketing and a more effective store operations framework, supports an attractive path to higher adjusted EPS in FY2026. Key catalysts include successful rollout of the marketing program to the broader store base, the continued monetization of real estate dispositions, and the ability to sustain or improve gross margins via pricing optimization and supplier negotiations. Risks to monitor include macro consumer weakness, tariff-driven cost inflation, and the pace of rollout execution. Overall, the stock offers a balanced risk/reward profile with a constructive medium-term growth trajectory anchored by cash flow strength and a diversified, non-discretionary service proposition.
Key Investment Factors
Growth Potential
Upside potential from scale-driven operating leverage as the digital marketing and CRM programs expand to the full store base, enhanced cross-selling of tires and maintenance services, and a broader tire assortment strategy. The expansion of the call center and ConfiDrive program can improve conversion, average ticket, and gross margin in a lower-cost framework. The real estate optimization should generate incremental cash flow and reduce secular occupancy costs.
Profitability Risk
Near-term consumer softness and potential macro deterioration; tariff volatility affecting input costs and price positioning; dependence on promotional marketing to drive volumes; execution risk around rapid nationwide rollout of the call center and ConfiDrive; leverage sensitivity given store closures reducing base revenue; competitive dynamics in the auto parts and tire sectors.
Financial Position
Strong liquidity headroom with roughly $410 million available on the credit facility, cash and equivalents around $10.5 million, and a net debt position of about $490.6 million. The company generated $32.3 million of operating cash flow in H1 2026 and free cash flow of $26.6 million, supporting the dividend and CapEx plan. Balance sheet metrics indicate solid equity base ($601.7 million) and material goodwill/intangible assets ($745.5 million), which warrants monitoring for impairment risk in a changing retail environment.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Extensive national footprint with 1,116 stores enabling scale advantages and local service delivery
Diversified product and service mix (tires, maintenance, brakes, suspension, etc.) supporting non-discretionary consumer demand
Strong cash flow generation and dividend capacity with substantial liquidity headroom
Vendor relationships and marketing collaboration driving better inventory turns and promotions
Operational improvements (ConfiDrive, centralized call center, district manager toolkit) enhancing store-level performance
Weaknesses
Significant exposure to tariff-driven cost pressures and input cost volatility
Store closures reduce near-term revenue base and may pressure comp store growth (short-term headwinds)
Limited visibility on service-margin transparency relative to some peers; reliance on marketing to drive traffic
Opportunities
Expanded use of digital marketing and CRM to accelerate high-value customer acquisition and retention
Strengthening tire assortment strategy and pricing analytics to improve GM and sell-through across tiers
Further rollout of ConfiDrive and call center to improve conversion and attach rates
Real estate dispositions to monetize owned stores and redeploy capital into higher-return locations
Threats
Slowing consumer spending and higher unemployment could suppress ticket growth and volume
Tariff fluctuations and potential supply chain disruptions affecting input costs and pricing power
Competition from multi-location auto service providers and online tire retailers