Exchange: NYSE | Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Home Improvement
Q3 2024
Published: Nov 19, 2024
Earnings Highlights
Revenue of $40.22B up 15.6% year-over-year
EPS of $3.67 increased by 30.5% from previous year
Gross margin of 33.4%
Net income of 3.65B
""Our performance during the third quarter exceeded our expectations as we saw better engagement in some seasonal leasing categories as a result of more favorable weather throughout the quarter."" - Billy Bastek
The Home Depot Inc (HD) Q3 2024 Financial Results: Navigating Challenges and Opportunities in a Dynamic Market
Executive Summary
In its third quarter of 2024, The Home Depot Inc (Ticker: HD) reported a revenue of $40.2 billion, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 6.6%, driven mainly by favorable weather conditions and hurricane-related sales. However, comparable sales were down 1.3%, reflecting challenges in larger remodeling projects amidst rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainties. CEO Ted Decker noted that while performance exceeded expectations in Q3, particularly in seasonal categories, significant pressure remained on discretionary spending due to unfavorable market conditions. Updating their guidance for fiscal 2024, the company now expects sales growth of approximately 4% and a slight decline of 1% in diluted earnings per share.
Key Performance Indicators
Revenue
40.22B
QoQ: -6.85% | YoY:15.61%
Gross Profit
13.43B
33.38% margin
QoQ: -6.87% | YoY:16.66%
Operating Income
5.42B
QoQ: -17.08% | YoY:30.77%
Net Income
3.65B
QoQ: -20.02% | YoY:30.24%
EPS
3.68
QoQ: -20.17% | YoY:30.50%
Revenue Trend
Margin Analysis
Key Insights
**Gross Profit Margin:** 33.4%, a decrease of 40 basis points YoY due primarily to the SRS acquisition's impact on product mix.
**Operating Margin:** Stood at 13.5%, down from 14.3% in Q3 2023.
**Net Income:** $3.648 billion, reflecting a YoY increase of **30.24%**, albeit a QoQ decline of **20.02%** due to lower consumer activity and higher operational costs.
Financial Highlights
Revenue Performance: The Home Depot generated revenues of $40.2 billion, up 6.6% year-over-year. Despite the growth, comparable store sales declined by 1.3%, with a notable 1.2% drop in U.S. stores. Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $3.78, down from $3.85 in the prior year, indicating a decline of 2%.
Profitability Metrics:
- Gross Profit Margin: 33.4%, a decrease of 40 basis points YoY due primarily to the SRS acquisition's impact on product mix.
- Operating Margin: Stood at 13.5%, down from 14.3% in Q3 2023.
- Net Income: $3.648 billion, reflecting a YoY increase of 30.24%, albeit a QoQ decline of 20.02% due to lower consumer activity and higher operational costs.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
The company's free cash flow for the quarter was $3.415 billion, supported by strong operating cash flows of $4.233 billion. On the balance sheet, The Home Depot holds $1.531 billion in cash with total liabilities of $91.478 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 10.95, indicating a high leverage position.
Market Position: The Home Depot continues to position itself favorably against competitors, gaining market share in core categories such as paint and outdoor garden, thanks to strategic merchandising and supplier partnerships.
Income Statement
Metric
Value
YoY Change
QoQ Change
Revenue
40.22B
15.61%
-6.85%
Gross Profit
13.43B
16.66%
-6.87%
Operating Income
5.42B
30.77%
-17.08%
Net Income
3.65B
30.24%
-20.02%
EPS
3.68
30.50%
-20.17%
Key Financial Ratios
currentRatio
1.13
grossProfitMargin
33.4%
operatingProfitMargin
13.5%
netProfitMargin
9.07%
returnOnAssets
3.75%
returnOnEquity
63%
debtEquityRatio
10.95
operatingCashFlowPerShare
$4.27
freeCashFlowPerShare
$3.45
dividendPayoutRatio
61.2%
priceToBookRatio
69.01
priceEarningsRatio
27.36
Net Income vs. Revenue
Expense Breakdown
Management Commentary
- Management Insight: CEO Ted Decker mentioned, "Excluding the impacts from the hurricanes, our third quarter performance exceeded our expectations. As weather normalized, we saw better engagement across seasonal goods."
- Operational Commentary: Ann-Marie Campbell highlighted the company's solid response to hurricane impacts, saying, "Our associates and supplier partners worked tirelessly under difficult circumstances to serve our customers and communities."
- Financial Outlook: Richard McPhail updated guidance: "Given the better than expected performance in Q3, we now expect total sales growth of approximately 4%, including anticipated hurricane-related sales."
- Strategic Growth: Ted Decker noted, "We are committed to investing in our capabilities to continue growing share in any environment," reflecting the company's long-term growth strategy despite current market challenges.
"Our performance during the third quarter exceeded our expectations as we saw better engagement in some seasonal leasing categories as a result of more favorable weather throughout the quarter."
â Billy Bastek
"We believe that we will grow market share in any environment, leveraging our scale and low-cost position to drive growth faster than the market and deliver shareholder value."
â Ted Decker
Forward Guidance
The Home Depot anticipates a somewhat conservative approach for the remainder of fiscal 2024, with management projecting total sales growth around **4%** and comps expected to decline **2.5%** for the year. This reflects a cautious outlook due to ongoing macroeconomic pressures, with a continued focus on enhancing their interconnected retail experience and growing Pro wallet share. Watch for updates on how the impact of higher interest rates and housing turnover affects their remodeling projects; improving consumer confidence is critical for their performance moving forward.
Competitive Position
Company
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio
HD Focus
33.38%
13.50%
63.00%
27.36%
FND
43.50%
5.93%
2.45%
62.64%
LL
31.70%
-13.70%
-20.70%
-63.60%
ARHS
38.60%
3.34%
3.09%
43.47%
HVT
60.20%
2.83%
1.60%
22.77%
Gross Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin
Return on Equity
P/E Ratio Comparison
Investment Outlook
Overall, The Home Depot continues to demonstrate resilience in a challenging environment. While revenue and profitability metrics reflect pressures from macroeconomic conditions, solid management efforts towards digital enhancements and product expansions present positive signs for sustained investor interest. Recent growth in key product categories such as paint and outdoor gardening, as well as strategic management comments about investing for future growth, position The Home Depot to possibly outperform its competitors in the upcoming quarters. Investors should monitor ongoing economic trends, interest rates, and housing market health as critical determinants for The Home Depot's performance.
Key Investment Factors
Growth Potential
The Home Depot's ongoing investment in technology and supply chain efficiencies are expected to drive sales growth in the coming quarters, particularly through enhanced delivery capabilities and e-commerce integration.
Profitability Risk
Risks remain from macroeconomic factors such as rising interest rates which could further depress discretionary spending and remodeling activity. Additionally, natural disasters and their timing will continue to impact seasonal sales volatility.
Financial Position
Despite a sound free cash flow and strong revenue growth, the company's high debt levels pose a risk in an environment of rising interest rates, impacting financial flexibility.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Leading position in the home improvement retail market with a strong brand recognition.
Extensive supply chain capabilities enabling rapid delivery to more than 90% of the U.S. market.
Consistent investment in technology and e-commerce enhancing customer experience.
Weaknesses
Increased operational costs impacting margins due to a high-cost structure and significant debt levels.
Vulnerability to economic downturns affecting consumer spending and discretionary home projects.
Opportunities
Expansion of new stores in underpenetrated markets, especially in Pro segments.
Growth in e-commerce and digital sales integration offering greater customer engagement.
Threats
Macroeconomic uncertainties driving interest rates and inflation may reduce consumer spending.
Competitive pressures from peers like Lowe's which are actively increasing market share.